DebatablePolitics.com

What an exciting primary season! It really has been the best month and a half to be a political junkie. There is one big myth bouncing around the airwaves that I want to dispell however.

That myth is that the Democratic party process is so muddled this year because of the proportional system. This is simply not true. The race would be just as close, even closer, if every contest were winner take all.

So far there have been 2168 delegates up for grabs through state primaries and caucuses. By some estimates, (because of how delegates are selected these numbers are a little murky), Obama leads Clinton by a narrow margin:

Obama = 1157

 

Clinton = 1009

Well guess what, the numbers would be even tighter if they were awarded winner take all, the supposedly clear cut way to do it. Here is where we would be at at this point in time if the delegates were awarded winner take all:

Obama = 1096

 

Clinton = 1072

Anyone who has ever spent time working with numbers knows this is a typical occurence. numbers

Given the fact that Obama has beaten Clinton by +20% in 15 of his 23 victories while Clinton has done it only 2 out of her 9 victories to date, it is perfectly reasonable to give Obama an edge in the delegate count at this point. Below is a list of the margins Obama has enjoyed:

Here are Clintons Margins:

That is a total butt whoopin any way you look at it. Obama rightfully has the edge based on these numbers.